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bernie_kosar

Web: http://fantasyfootballcalculator.com/blog

Thoughts: Running back stud theory is dead! Long live running back stud theory

Karma: 459
Posts: 145

Darren McFadden, OAK


19
I agree, McFadden is no longer on my radar. Luckily I didn't end up with him in many leagues this year. Oakland is definitely a cursed team.
Discuss

Todd Heap, BAL


1
That's crazy. I hope I can snag him off of waivers this week.
Discuss

Donovan McNabb, PHI


1
Wow, that's a crazy QB situation in PHI. I wonder what happens when Vick is available.
Discuss

Julius Jones, SEA


1
BC, I agree! I think that's how it's going to go down. James is over the hill, and if Jones can stay healthy, he'll get a ton of carries. I've drafted JJ as a RB3/RB4 in about 90% of my leagues.
Discuss

Joseph Addai, IND


1
That's an interesting strategy. I usually stay completely away from RBBCs, but the Indy offense is good enough that this could be viable. Too bad I'm pretty much done with all my drafts and don't own either in any of my leagues.
Discuss

Steven Jackson, STL


1
Alright, I'll give you an extra 6 pts for every episode if you give me 1 point for every time Ochocinco tweets. Deal?
Discuss

LaDainian Tomlinson, SD


1
I think that I draft him at 5, but only because I don't like anyone else. It's too early for Fitz/Moss and the second tier of RBs. He's kind of in a tier 1.5 in my opinion. People seem to range widely on where they would take him though.
Discuss

Kurt Warner, ARI


1
I agree! Very worried about Warner here. I was in one draft recently and he fell to the 11th round! I think a lot of others are scared as well. Last year was likely just a fluke.
Discuss

Chad Ocho Cinco, CIN


2
Thank you! I'm glad someone else feels the same. I hear a lot of people talking about him as a sleeper and I just can't trust him. Definitely not in the 4th round. Sure, he put up big numbers in the past, but the Bengals were a different team then.
Discuss

Robert Meachem, NO


1
Interesting. He isn't really being drafted at all. With that kind of high-powered offense, I think he's at least worth a late round flier. High upside at least.
Discuss

Fred Taylor, NE


2
I definitely agree with skipping this backfield. I'm always tempted to snag Taylor at the end of a draft, but I know it's just not worth the risk. With Belichick so secretive, there's no way to know who to start in a given week.
Discuss

Knowshon Moreno, DEN


17
Moreno is signed and will play in the preseason game this Friday against the 49ers.
www.gazette.com
Discuss

Dwayne Bowe, KC


1
That's somewhat concerning.
Discuss

Thomas Jones, NYJ


1
Wow, that would be big. NFC West, huh? Gotta be Seattle or maybe Arizona.
Discuss

Joe Flacco, BAL


1
Good catch smileyman. That is a pretty soft schedule there.
Discuss

Shaun Alexander, FA


1
I wish him good luck, but I doubt anyone will be interested. He really fell off a cliff talent-wise, which is a shame.
Discuss

Dwayne Bowe, KC


1
Dwayne Bowe benched!
sports.yahoo.com
Discuss

Antonio Bryant, TB


17
Bryant has a torn meniscus and will miss the preseason because of the injury.
sports.yahoo.com
2 comments

Steve Smith, CAR


17
Steve Smith injured his shoulder at practice. X-rays are negative, but he's going to be out for a while.
sports.yahoo.com
1 comment

Chris Johnson, TEN


2
That's pretty cool. That would be useful for making game-time decisions. Don't want to start someone who might not even make it to the game.
Discuss

Michael Vick, PHI


3
Wow, that's saying something about Bulger. Do we even know what kind of shape Vick is in? He's still suspended for the start of the season too! That's crazy.
Discuss

Marshawn Lynch, BUF


16
Lynch lost his appeal and will be suspended the first three games of the season.
www.newsday.com
Discuss

Brady Quinn, CLE


15
Quinn and Anderson still battling it out for the starting job. Splitting reps in training camp. (via Football Jabber: http://footballjabber.com/2009/08/02/nfl-jabber-team-and-player-news/)
www.ohio.com
1 comment

Tarvaris Jackson, MIN


14
Tarvaris Jackson suffered a knee sprain in camp. Adds another complication to the anti-climactic QB battle in Minnesota.
www.startribune.com
Discuss

Tom Brady, NE


14
Here's an argument that Brady (and Moss) will be #1 again this year.
fantasynews.cbssports.com
Discuss

Ladell Betts, WAS


14
Betts may end up as the permanent 3rd down back for the Redskins. They're looking to extend Portis' shelf life and that could lead to even more carries for Betts.
nooffseason.com
Discuss

Sam Hurd, DAL


15
Sleeper alert! Sam Hurd is reportedly doing well competing with Austin and Crayton for the #2 WR spot in Dallas. Don't overlook him.
nooffseason.com
2 comments

Knowshon Moreno, DEN


11
Actually, one report says he may sign within the next couple of days. I hope it's true so that he can start getting reps. Here's the link: http://bit.ly/K6Te4
Discuss

Michael Turner, ATL


3
Yeah, I snagged Turner at 12 in the Junkyard Jake Drunken Pirates league and was pretty happy. He definitely could use some more receptions, but he's still a first-round value.
Discuss

Carson Palmer, CIN


12
Although he's really difficult to predict, this article suggests that Carson Palmer could be a great value and will end up as a top 10 QB. Since he's being drafted as the #12 QB now, drafting him is a great way to get a cheap value QB.
bleacherreport.com
Discuss

Adrian Peterson, MIN


13
Could Brett Favre's addition to the Vikings cause Peterson's value to drop? Looking at the numbers last year for the Jets shows that it's a possibility.
footballjabber.com
1 comment

Derek Anderson, CLE


1
I don't think he'll get the starting job, but more competition is always good.
Discuss

Maurice Jones-Drew, JAC


2
Wow, I hadn't heard reports like this before. They're suggesting that his carries might not increase at all this year. I hope he's just trying to be modest. He has the talent and durability to carry a heavy load.
Discuss

Derrick Mason, BAL


3
Yeah, I was starting to jump on Mark Clayton. Guess I'll have to wait until the dust settles on this one.
1 comment

Brandon Marshall, DEN


11
Brandon Marshall is training with Larry Fitgerald now. On a set of 110-yard sprints, Fitgerald burned Marshall by 20 yards on every one of them. He sounds determined to get faster though.
sports.yahoo.com
Discuss

Michael Crabtree, SF


2
That's good to hear. At least shows that he's on track to recover fully in time for the season.
Discuss

Joe Jurevicius, CLE


10
Jurevicious sued the Browns over his staph infection he got while with the team. Sounds like it may be justified. Sorry that it had to come to this though. The guy took a pay cut to play of the Browns originally.
sports.yahoo.com
Discuss

Ryan Grant, GB


6
What do you guys think about Ryan Grant this year? Better or worse than his 1200/4 season last year?
Discuss

Cedric Benson, CIN


3
Rotoworld calls Benson one of the "criminally under-drafted" players this year.
blogs.rotoworld.com
Discuss

Vernon Davis, SF


1
Yeah, I thought something was a bit off. We can get those fixed :)
Discuss

Matt Ryan, ATL


1
Sounds like he's the real deal. Not many rookie QBs can step up and perform like he did last year. Right now he's being drafted in the late 6th round. If I can get 5 RB/WRs ahead of him, that would be a pretty solid team.
Discuss

Deangelo Williams, CAR


1
Yeah, that's a good point about Stewart. Even given the chance, I don't know if he would ever be able to handle a full workload.
Discuss

Terrell Owens, BUF


6
Real reason behind T.O.’s exit from Dallas...
sports.yahoo.com
Discuss

Carson Palmer, CIN


2
Carson Palmer is up to his old self again. That would be good for the Bengals. His old self was pretty darn good.
sports.yahoo.com
Discuss

Deangelo Williams, CAR


3
Football Fools suggests that Deangelo Williams will have a hard time repeating last year's fantasy burst. I tend to agree.
www.fantasyfootballfools.com
2 comments

Matt Ryan, ATL


1
That sounds like it was a good move, especially for a Dynasty team. I wouldn't even be surprised if Ryan beats out Romo this year in fantasy value.
Discuss

Adrian Peterson, MIN


11
Rotoworld says Favre is "all but a viking" and that his addition should boost AP's value even further since the offense will get more opportunities.
blogs.rotoworld.com
Discuss

Donnie Avery, STL


11
If you project out Avery's stats from the games he started over a whole season, he almost has 1000 yard. Yet he's being drafted in the 7th round. I smell value.
bleacherreport.com
Discuss

Tony Romo, DAL


11
Tony Romo says that he's in better shape this year. Still doesn't bring T.O. back.
sports.yahoo.com
1 comment

Donte' Stallworth, CLE


4
Stallworth only gets 30 days in prison. Wow! He'll be playing this year unless there's an additional NFL suspension. What do you guys think? Is it fair?
fifthdown.blogs.nytimes.com
2 comments

Chris Wells, ARI


1
Whoops, yeah, I meant Hightower. I get those below average RBs confused sometimes. But Wells still will be splitting carries. Forte and Ryan were great as rookies last year, but they carried the full load.
Discuss

Chris Wells, ARI


1
I think the same range as those RBs is a fair value for him, but it looks like he's not a sleeper anymore. I'm assuming he'll be splitting carries with Arrington, so he's value is somewhat limited.
2 comments

Owen Daniels, HOU


3
Yeah, that's pretty shocking. In real NFL terms and in fantasy terms, he isn't close to the #2 TE.
Discuss

Brandon Marshall, DEN


1
Wow, that's significant. Sounds like he's out for sure.
Discuss

Brandon Marshall, DEN


1
Cool, thanks. If it's speculation then I wouldn't worry about it at this point. Although if even the part about him struggling is true then that could be an issue in itself.
Discuss

Willis McGahee, BAL


1
Wow, nice catch. I've been curious about McGahee's status and we finally have some solid info. I think I'm staying away from him this year.
Discuss

Brandon Marshall, DEN


1
That's news to me. Do you know if that's being pushed by Marshall or the Broncos?
2 comments

Tom Brady, NE


1
That seems reasonable. Carson Palmer was also a little rusty when he returned from his knee surgery. But Brady is still coming off of that awesome season. I've been drafting Brady in a lot of my mocks so far this year.
Discuss

Matt Forte, CHI


1
That's a good point. Last year teams knew that the Bears were going to run the ball because they had no passing game. Having a decent passing weapon should help increase Forte's YPC.
Discuss

Calvin Johnson, DET


3
Calvin Johnson praises Matt Stafford
blog.mlive.com
Discuss

Ted Ginn Jr., MIA


1
Yeah, that's a good point. Ginn has had pretty crappy quarterbacks so far.
Discuss

Thomas Jones, NYJ


1
Also a good point. He's never been a stellar running back. Always just slightly better than the other guys on the roster.
Discuss

Michael Turner, ATL


2
Michael Turner leads the "busts" list on West Sports Report. They predict 900 yards, 10 TDs.
www.westsportsreport.com
3 comments

Michael Vick, PHI


2
Peter King doesn't believe the rumors that the Rams are interested in Michael Vick.
nooffseason.com
Discuss

Carson Palmer, CIN


2
Shutdown Corner disagrees with the Madden 2010 ranking of Carson Palmer. Says Palmer isn't due for a good year this year.
sports.yahoo.com
Discuss

Thomas Jones, NYJ


1
Yeah, I guess that isn't a great contract.
2 comments

Chase Coffman, CIN


2
That's what I figured. Kinda funny though.
1 comment

Sidney Rice, MIN


8
There's reports that Sidneys' knee is pretty much healed and not an issue at this point.
nooffseason.com
1 comment

Percy Harvin, MIN


3
Harvin is spending time returning kick offs this week. I wonder if he's just trying it out or if it'll be a permanent role for him.
nooffseason.com
Discuss

Michael Vick, PHI


1
Yeah, I mostly feel the same way. I know that he's "done his time," but he does have to act like a role model should. Just because he's repaid his debt to society doesn't mean he can waltz back into his old job like nothing happened.
5 comments

Frank Gore, SF


4
FF Maniax put Gore as their #1 overrated player this year. There's a really good point that he's always ranked as a top RB but doesn't perform. He only has 11 TDs in his past 29 games. Ouch.
fantasyfootballmaniaxs.com
Discuss

Laurence Maroney, NE


1
Interesting. I guess I thought that he was "soft" and just didn't play through the pain. I guess I can't blame him in this case. He has talent, let's hope he can stay healthy now.
1 comment

Reggie Bush, NO


2
Reggie is at 75% strength now after his December surgery.
nooffseason.com
Discuss

Darren McFadden, OAK


3
McFadden is a must-buy in dynasty leagues.
blogs.rotoworld.com
Discuss

LeRon McClain, BAL


5
McClain might end up at fullback this year even though he lead the ravens in rushing in 2008. He's got the size for it, but he was pretty darn effective running the ball. His fantasy value plummets to zero if the report is true.
nooffseason.com
2 comments

Fred Jackson, BUF


2
Fred Jackson just signed a 4-year contract extension. Good move.
sports.yahoo.com
Discuss

Drew Brees, NO


1
Brees had an awesome year fantasy-wise, espcially with yardage. Can he do even better this year? He has Colston back, so that has to help.
Discuss

Michael Clayton, TB


1
That would be interesting. Clayton seems to have the talent, but he's just kind of faded away since his rookie year.
Discuss

Matt Ryan, ATL


2
I'm firmly on this bandwagon. Absolutely, I think Ryan is going to break out huge this year.
Discuss

Shaun Hill, SF


1
Good call. He could have pretty solid fantasy value as a backup QB for very cheap.
Discuss

Matt Cassel, KC


1
I don't know. I'm kind of skeptical about Cassel this year. One good thing he has going for him is KC's horrible defense which will keep him throwing late in the game.
Discuss

Drew Bennett, STL


1
Remember those two games that he caught for over 200 yards with Billy Volek? Yeah, that was nice... Doubt that's gonna happen again.
Discuss

Joseph Addai, IND


1
Ouch! That's harsh.
Discuss

Brady Quinn, CLE


5
The Browns rejected TWO substantial trade offers for Quinn, each of which was a #1 draft pick. That sounds like he'll be the starter this year.
www.cleveland.com
2 comments

Brett Favre, MIN


1
Yeah, I wonder if he just does it for the attention. Just sign with someone already!
Discuss

Mark Sanchez, NYJ


4
Will the Jets' QB spot be open for contention? Clemens seems to think he has a shot. (via profootballtalk.com)
www.northjersey.com
Discuss

Thomas Jones, NYJ


1
Thomas Jones is skipping more practices. Not a good move considering they have 2 guys that can replace him in a heartbeat.
www.profootballtalk.com
Discuss

Brett Favre, MIN


4
Favre may have sent X-rays of his injured right shoulder to the Vikings.
sports.yahoo.com
Discuss

Jeff Garcia, OAK


3
Jeff is having trouble adjusting to the backup role in Oakland.
sports.yahoo.com
Discuss

Devin Thomas, WAS


1
Devin Thomas is supposedly recovered from his hamstring injury.
nooffseason.com
Discuss

Darrius Heyward-Bey, OAK


1
I hope it doesn't slow him down at all. He has a lot to live up to.
1 comment

Knowshon Moreno, DEN


1
Yeah, they seem to be in rebuilding mode and I doubt that Orton is going to be very effective.
Discuss

Reggie Bush, NO


1
Yeah, I guess that's true. I haven't had him in any PPR leagues so his receptions haven't helped me very much.
Discuss

Kurt Warner, ARI


1
Yeah, that sounds about right. Gotta think that some of that offensive explosion was a little luck. I doubt the Cardinals can reach the Super Bowl again.
Discuss

New Orleans Defense, NO


1
Man, you've gotta hate something like that. How do rookies have season-ending injuries this early?
1 comment

Brett Favre, MIN


1
Man, I don't think this saga is going to be over until August.
4 comments

Detroit Defense, DET


1
Larry Foote officially signs with the Lions. Still has to compete for a starting position though.
chicksinthehuddle.com
Discuss

Javon Walker, OAK


1
Yeah, talk about a bust. He had talent back in the day.
Discuss

Edgerrin James, ARI


3
Edgerrin may end up in New Orleans. The Saints are reportedly looking at him.
sports.yahoo.com
1 comment

Knowshon Moreno, DEN


1
That sounds about right. I'd like to know for sure that he's going to get the majority of the carries. If he does he could be a fantasy monster.
2 comments

Braylon Edwards, NYJ


1
Yeah, that's an interesting move. Furrey isn't exactly a replacement for Edwards though. You can still only start 2/3 WRs for each play. They need at least one standout receiver.
Discuss

Mohamed Massaquoi, CLE


1
That's a good sign. Hopefully he's telling the truth and he'll be able to hang on to the ball. He can't be any worse than Edwards, at least.
1 comment

Brett Favre, MIN


1
Will Brett Favre play in 2009 and where???
fantasyfootballmaniaxs.com
Discuss

Joseph Addai, IND


1
Joseph Addai's value plummets, according to nooffseason.com
nooffseason.com
Discuss

Hines Ward, PIT


1
Hines Ward is sitting out due to a knee injury.
nooffseason.com
Discuss

Mark Sanchez, NYJ


1
Interesting take in this article shows that Sanchez might have some difficulty with the New York weather after living in SoCal for his whole life.
bleacherreport.com
Discuss

Matthew Stafford, DET


1
Discuss

Brian Westbrook, PHI


1
Westbrook is running well. I guess not much of a surprise. Most people will probably still expect him to get injured at some point this season though. LeSean McCoy is an obvious handcuff this year.
nooffseason.com
Discuss

Leon Washington, NYJ


1
Seriously Leon Washington? Seriously? You think you deserve as much money as Jones-Drew? Seriously?
nooffseason.com
Discuss

Willie Parker, PIT


1
Parker is in training camp and is not holding out. Probably a smart move on his part. He's in the last year of his contract and he has Mendenhall breathing down his neck.
nooffseason.com
Discuss

Mark Sanchez, NYJ


1
It sounds similar to the scouting report on him. Solid leadership skills. However, I still don't think he'll be a good fantasy QB. Just a solid, accurate passer.
Discuss

Selvin Young, DEN


1
The Broncos released Selvin Young. Not surprising they released one of their 3,456 running backs.
sports.yahoo.com
Discuss

Anquan Boldin, ARI


1
Huh, that's not surprising. I still don't know why the guy wouldn't at least practice. No need to fake an injury.
Discuss

Alex Smith, NE


1
Smith traded to NE. Maybe he'll revive the TE position for the Patriots.
nooffseason.com
Discuss

Laveranues Coles, CIN


1
Some thoughts on Coles' signing with the Bengals.
thethunderingblurb.blogspot.com
Discuss

Thomas Jones, NYJ


3
The latest report is that Thomas Jones is not going to get a new deal because the Jets are trying to shore up money to sign Sanchez.
nooffseason.com
Discuss

Chris Wells, ARI


2
Cool, no problem. I'll be adding a delete button soon for stuff like that.
Discuss

Knowshon Moreno, DEN


1
Yeah, I'm also hoping that Moreno will stand out enough in training camp to land the starting role himself. We'll have to wait and see though.
Discuss

Derrick Ward, TB


1
Yeah, that's gonna be tought to tell this early in the year. This will be one to watch for during training camp.
Discuss

Plaxico Burress, NYG


1
That would work out great for him. He won't have to worry about breaking probation.
Discuss

Reggie Bush, NO


1
Good for him. He's been extremely average fantasy-wise so far.
4 comments

Jamal Lewis, CLE


1
He's done. That 2,000 yard season did him in. This year he might fully break down completely. I don't know if he'll even last 10 games this year.
Discuss

Matt Cassel, KC


5
Cassel starting strong in KC. Maybe a resurgence this year.
sports.espn.go.com
3 comments

Peyton Hillis, DEN


1
Before Moreno was drafted by denver, hillis was hoping to get some carries. My guess is that's out the window.
www.kktv.com
Discuss

Tom Brady, NE


1
Is Brady going to be back to full strength this season? Any after-effects or tenderness in his knee? Should I mark him down for 50 TDs again?
1 comment

Steven Jackson, STL


2
Yeah, that would be nice. I still think it's wishful thinking that STL will get back to an offensive powerhouse. They just seemed so disorganized last year that it doesn't seem like they can pull it together.
Discuss

Ronnie Brown, MIA


1
Ronnie Brown is apparently not on the market.
www.miamiherald.com
Discuss

Marshawn Lynch, BUF


1
Lynch was suspended for 3 games
views.washingtonpost.com
Discuss

Lee Evans, BUF


1
Wow, this guy's value is gonna hit rock bottom this year with T.O. on the team now. I can't imagine buffalo having enough of a passing offense to support two decent fantasy WRs.
1 comment

Antonio Bryant, TB


1
Breakdown of tampa bay's receivers. Bryant shined at times last year, but we'll see if he can repeat and be more reliable.
www.tampabay.com
Discuss

T.J. Houshmandzadeh, SEA


1
Nice write-up. I hadn't know that he took 2 years off after high school and then went to community college. His community college coach said this of him: "He's just such a tough guy," Mazzotta said. "He's not the fastest guy in the world, but that sucker will catch the ball and he doesn't care who's around him."
1 comment

Jake Delhomme, CAR


1
I'm surprised. I think most of his success has been due to having a stud receiver in Steve Smith. I don't think he's worth that much.
Discuss

Larry Fitzgerald, ARI


1
It's all bunk. I've never bought into the Madden Curse and I never will. It's just reversion to the mean. In order to get on the cover of Madden, you have to have a great season. Chances are the next year you won't do as well. Simple as that.
6 comments

Anquan Boldin, ARI


2
Boldin is staying with the Cards. He got no trade interest.
www.azcardinals.com
1 comment

Roddy White, ATL


1
ESPN suggests that Gonzalez may cause a slight drop on Roddy White's targets.
sports.espn.go.com
Discuss

Reggie Wayne, IND


1
Reggie Wayne restructures his contract.
www.journalgazette.net
Discuss

Calvin Johnson, DET


1
ESPN things that Calvin Johnson won't be affected by the addition of Pettigrew to the Lions.
sports.espn.go.com
Discuss

Brandon Jacobs, NYG


1
Jacobs was "hurt" when he heard Burress was cut.
www.nj.com
Discuss

Marion Barber, DAL


1
Barber's toe sounds like it's fully healed. He's doing "grueling" workouts right now.
cowboysblog.dallasnews.com
1 comment

Adrian Peterson, MIN


2
Adrian Peterson is looking to bulk up to 230 pounds from his current 217. Vikings don't like it. I'm not sure how that would help him.
www.usatoday.com
Discuss

Joseph Addai, IND


1
Donald Brown is definitely going to cut into Addai's carries this year. Major downgrade.
sports.espn.go.com
3 comments

Braylon Edwards, NYJ


1
Doesn't look like the Edwards to Giants trade is going to go through
www.nydailynews.com
Discuss

Jeremy Shockey, NO


1
Word is that Shockey is fully healed and ready to go for 2009
blog.nola.com
Discuss

Tony Gonzalez, ATL


2
Tony Gonzalez just got traded to the Falcons. My thought is that his value goes down a bit. Atlanta likes to run too much. He might get some looks in the red zone though.
Discuss

Edgerrin James, ARI


2
Arizona just drafted Beanie Wells. Doesn't bode well for Edgerrin
2 comments